Expert Highlights Bitcoin’s ‘Moment of Truth’

bitcoin

The Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI) has not yet entered the “typical overheating zone” above 0.75, according to CryptoQuant contributor Woominkyu.

“At the moment, the indicator remains below 0.5, signaling a critical moment for the market,” the researcher emphasized.


BCMI is based on the following metrics:

  • MVRV (30% weight in the combined index)
  • NUPL (25%)
  • SOPR (25%)
  • Fear and Greed Index (20%)

Values below 0.15 indicate panic and overselling, signaling potential long-term buying opportunities, while values above 0.75 reflect market greed, typically preceding cyclical peaks and corrections.

Woominkyu outlined two potential scenarios:

  • A buying opportunity before the market resumes its uptrend: “We are likely witnessing a healthy, normal correction within an ongoing bull market.”
  • A premature start of a bearish phase against historical trends: “An atypical end to the bull phase.”

“Pay close attention to clear directional signals from BCMI’s 7-day and 90-day moving averages,” the expert advised.

Another CryptoQuant contributor, nino, noted rising premiums on the Coinbase exchange, which may indicate “increased demand from U.S. investors and growing confidence on a global scale.”

She added that for a more comprehensive picture, it’s crucial to track other key metrics, such as trading volumes and various on-chain indicators.

Previously, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju confirmed the end of Bitcoin’s bull market.