In September 2025, the leading cryptocurrency is expected to trade within a $51,430–$713,000 range, with an average value of $258,445, according to a Monte Carlo simulation conducted by researcher MarktQuant.

Bitcoin Monte Carlo Simulation (6 months) forecast $BTC

Simulation Statistics:
Initial Price: $82655.52
Mean Final Price: $258445.24
5th Percentile: $51430.23
95th Percentile: $712118.81 pic.twitter.com/V6hsUEFBa1
— MarktQuant (@MarktQuant) March 9, 2025

The projections indicate a peak of $713,000 in six months, implying an 8.6x increase from $82,300 at the time of analysis.

The Monte Carlo method uses random number generation to simulate price movements and assess risks. It generates multiple possible scenarios based on variables like market trends and volatility.

Analysts at QCP Capital highlighted $80,000 as a key support level for Bitcoin in the near term. However, they pointed out limited upside potential due to negative sentiment around crypto reserves.

Asia Colour – 10 Mar 25

1/ Friday’s NFP data reinforced expectations of May rate cuts, fueling optimism for BTC’s recovery. After consolidating near $86K, it seemed set for a rebound—until Sunday’s Bybit hackers offloaded $300M during low-liquidity hours, forcing #BTC & #ETH to…
— QCP (@QCPgroup) March 10, 2025

According to experts, the options market suggests a bullish outlook only starting in Q3.

“Until Bitcoin finds a new narrative, we will see stronger correlation with equities. Both risk assets are trading near recent lows. With tariff risks still in play, volatility may increase ahead of key U.S. inflation data releases on Wednesday and Thursday,” they noted.

Earlier, Matrixport predicted the end of the correction by March-April.

Previously, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggested Bitcoin could undergo a prolonged consolidation within a wide range ($75,000–$100,000), similar to early 2024, before resuming an uptrend.